Posted by: GameSlim | May 21, 2008

Philippine Lotto Probability – How to do the Calculations

To truly understand how Philippine Lotto odds are calculated we first need to understand basic law of probability. Probability is important because it tells us how many times a particular number or combination of numbers should occur over time.

To simplify this example we will use a single dice cube as an example.
If you were to roll a dice what would be the chances of rolling, say a two? Because there are 6 possible numbers that could be rolled on the single dice and since only one of them can appear on a single roll then you have 1 chance in 6 (1/6). Pretty easy so far!

Now lets work out the odds of a combination of different numbers occurring?
What would be the chances of rolling a two or a six? In this case the chances of rolling a two are 1/6 and the chances of rolling a six are 1/6. Therefore you simply ADD the two outcomes: 1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 or 1/3. Therefore the chances are 1 in 3 of rolling either a 3 or 6. Still pretty simple.

What would be the odds of rolling a two on two consecutive rolls of the dice? In this case the odds are MULTIPLIED together. Thus we have 1/6 × 1/6 = 1/36. Thus the chances of rolling a two on 2 consecutive rolls is 1 chance in 36.

Ok, So how does this work with lotto?
The calculations are the same; we simply expand the above theory.
If we select 6 numbers and the game has 50 numbers in the pool the odds are calculated as follows.

* The odds of having the first number drawn are simply 6 in 50 (6/50).

* Since we have already picked one of our six numbers and there is one less number in the pool that can be picked, then there are only five of a possible 49 numbers left in the pool that can be drawn. Therefore the odds of having the second number drawn is 5 in 49 (5/49).

* Since we now have four of our six picks left and there are now only 48 balls left in the pool to be drawn, the chances of getting the third is 4 in 48 (4/48).

* We now have three of our six picks left and only 47 balls left in the pool to be drawn. Therefore the chances of getting the forth number is 3 in 47 (3/47).

* With two of our six picks left and only 46 balls left in the pool. The chances of getting the fifth number are 2 in 46 (2/46).

* With only one of our six picks left and only 45 balls left in the pool, the chances of getting the last number is 1 in 45 (1/45).

To calculate the odds of picking all six numbers we multiply the individual odds together to get the overall odds: 6/50 × 5/49 × 4/48 × 3/47 × 2/46 × 1/45 = 720/11,441,304,000 or 1/15890700 (1 chance in 15.89 million).

The standard formula used to calculate odds is as follows:
Odds = Fac(x) ÷ [Fac(n) × Fac(x - n)].
What the variables mean are;
* Fac( ) means factorial, which means multiplying a number out by all of its factors. For example Fac(6) would be 6 x 5 x 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 720
* x = the number of balls in the game pool (in the above example, 50).
* n = the numbers allowed to be chosen (in above example, 6).
Thus in a 6/50 lotto the odds as follows:
Odds = Fac(50) ÷ [ Fac(6) × Fac(50-6)] = 1/15,890,700: the same as the long hand calculation performed above.


Responses

  1. pls stop na yung pang alas-singko na draw pahirap lang to sa mga kababayan sa visaayas at mindanao ok . . . .

  2. please send me the most latest tips in su3…..

    thank you…

  3. penge naman po ng # for tomorrow.

  4. penge naman po ng # for tomorrow. 09228874403

  5. good am sir,im real in need of money for my kids in school pls give idea on how to win suertres even once only for my neccesity.since i don’t you personally its…Its up to our almighty GOD who will return back your kindnes and good heart or i will pay a thanks giving mass exclusively for your help.just send the message through my email add.thanks and more power to you

  6. Greetings!
    hello sir, me and my husband are apart, im sick and his sick because we cant be together because we dont have money if we will stay together..please help me, give me possible numbers that will win in lotto..God knows how much we love each other, but we cant be together unless we have money so he can come and stay with me..i missed him so much, in this way we can help each other. Looking forward for your reply just send it to my email.

    thanks and more power to you!!

  7. hi, eto po yong first time ko mag view, naghahanap ng lucky swertres number and hopefully mabigyan mo ako. cge naman, ever since hindi pa ako nanalo sa lotto. salamat

  8. gud pm sir! me and my family is in need of money because our property will foreclosed anytime this month. Can u giv me a possible # that will win? thanks and more blessings to you!

  9. hahahahaha la jud ko kasabot sa idea ninyo hehehe

  10. dato na unta ka karun kung epectibo pa na imong calculation hahahahahha

  11. uy ok to ah, prehong-pareho and explanation sa

    http://www.lottobuster.com/articles/060527.html

    ikaw rin ba ang author nun?

  12. hello Philippines……goor morning…
    this is my hearing….958,041, 894, 754, 549….
    just try until you succed..

  13. hi, this my ist time to bet lotto games, like Ez 2 but not swertres. im confused about swertres Visayas, Mindanao bet. is it possible to bet on those games even if im here in Luzon area? thanks and nore power

  14. hi, to saldaths,

    jus bet on ur posted number 754 but unluckily d last digit on previous result is 757. anyway keep on posting, just try until you suceed, ok!

  15. sir have a good day…sir pwede unta ko mangayo og hearing para unta ko makabayad sa ako inrolment sa ako mga anak…kay single mom ra tawon ko…mangayo unta ko kay basin makatabang ra unta naku pangbayad sa school..pls sir tabangi ko


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