Posted by: GameSlim | May 21, 2008

Philippine Lotto Probability – How to do the Calculations

To truly understand how Philippine Lotto odds are calculated we first need to understand basic law of probability. Probability is important because it tells us how many times a particular number or combination of numbers should occur over time.

To simplify this example we will use a single dice cube as an example.
If you were to roll a dice what would be the chances of rolling, say a two? Because there are 6 possible numbers that could be rolled on the single dice and since only one of them can appear on a single roll then you have 1 chance in 6 (1/6). Pretty easy so far!

Now lets work out the odds of a combination of different numbers occurring?
What would be the chances of rolling a two or a six? In this case the chances of rolling a two are 1/6 and the chances of rolling a six are 1/6. Therefore you simply ADD the two outcomes: 1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 or 1/3. Therefore the chances are 1 in 3 of rolling either a 3 or 6. Still pretty simple.

What would be the odds of rolling a two on two consecutive rolls of the dice? In this case the odds are MULTIPLIED together. Thus we have 1/6 × 1/6 = 1/36. Thus the chances of rolling a two on 2 consecutive rolls is 1 chance in 36.

Ok, So how does this work with lotto?
The calculations are the same; we simply expand the above theory.
If we select 6 numbers and the game has 50 numbers in the pool the odds are calculated as follows.

* The odds of having the first number drawn are simply 6 in 50 (6/50).

* Since we have already picked one of our six numbers and there is one less number in the pool that can be picked, then there are only five of a possible 49 numbers left in the pool that can be drawn. Therefore the odds of having the second number drawn is 5 in 49 (5/49).

* Since we now have four of our six picks left and there are now only 48 balls left in the pool to be drawn, the chances of getting the third is 4 in 48 (4/48).

* We now have three of our six picks left and only 47 balls left in the pool to be drawn. Therefore the chances of getting the forth number is 3 in 47 (3/47).

* With two of our six picks left and only 46 balls left in the pool. The chances of getting the fifth number are 2 in 46 (2/46).

* With only one of our six picks left and only 45 balls left in the pool, the chances of getting the last number is 1 in 45 (1/45).

To calculate the odds of picking all six numbers we multiply the individual odds together to get the overall odds: 6/50 × 5/49 × 4/48 × 3/47 × 2/46 × 1/45 = 720/11,441,304,000 or 1/15890700 (1 chance in 15.89 million).

The standard formula used to calculate odds is as follows:
Odds = Fac(x) ÷ [Fac(n) × Fac(x - n)].
What the variables mean are;
* Fac( ) means factorial, which means multiplying a number out by all of its factors. For example Fac(6) would be 6 x 5 x 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 720
* x = the number of balls in the game pool (in the above example, 50).
* n = the numbers allowed to be chosen (in above example, 6).
Thus in a 6/50 lotto the odds as follows:
Odds = Fac(50) ÷ [ Fac(6) × Fac(50-6)] = 1/15,890,700: the same as the long hand calculation performed above.


Responses

  1. pls stop na yung pang alas-singko na draw pahirap lang to sa mga kababayan sa visaayas at mindanao ok . . . .

  2. please send me the most latest tips in su3…..

    thank you…

  3. penge naman po ng # for tomorrow.

  4. penge naman po ng # for tomorrow. 09228874403

  5. good am sir,im real in need of money for my kids in school pls give idea on how to win suertres even once only for my neccesity.since i don’t you personally its…Its up to our almighty GOD who will return back your kindnes and good heart or i will pay a thanks giving mass exclusively for your help.just send the message through my email add.thanks and more power to you

  6. Greetings!
    hello sir, me and my husband are apart, im sick and his sick because we cant be together because we dont have money if we will stay together..please help me, give me possible numbers that will win in lotto..God knows how much we love each other, but we cant be together unless we have money so he can come and stay with me..i missed him so much, in this way we can help each other. Looking forward for your reply just send it to my email.

    thanks and more power to you!!

  7. hi, eto po yong first time ko mag view, naghahanap ng lucky swertres number and hopefully mabigyan mo ako. cge naman, ever since hindi pa ako nanalo sa lotto. salamat

  8. gud pm sir! me and my family is in need of money because our property will foreclosed anytime this month. Can u giv me a possible # that will win? thanks and more blessings to you!

  9. hahahahaha la jud ko kasabot sa idea ninyo hehehe

  10. dato na unta ka karun kung epectibo pa na imong calculation hahahahahha

  11. uy ok to ah, prehong-pareho and explanation sa

    http://www.lottobuster.com/articles/060527.html

    ikaw rin ba ang author nun?

  12. hello Philippines……goor morning…
    this is my hearing….958,041, 894, 754, 549….
    just try until you succed..

  13. hi, this my ist time to bet lotto games, like Ez 2 but not swertres. im confused about swertres Visayas, Mindanao bet. is it possible to bet on those games even if im here in Luzon area? thanks and nore power

  14. hi, to saldaths,

    jus bet on ur posted number 754 but unluckily d last digit on previous result is 757. anyway keep on posting, just try until you suceed, ok!

  15. sir have a good day…sir pwede unta ko mangayo og hearing para unta ko makabayad sa ako inrolment sa ako mga anak…kay single mom ra tawon ko…mangayo unta ko kay basin makatabang ra unta naku pangbayad sa school..pls sir tabangi ko

  16. pahingi naman nuber for tom…09214697778

  17. pahingi naman number for tomoro….sa 4d heehe tnx alot….09214697778..tnx

  18. Please pahingi naman ng number sa swer3 pra tonight’s draw… just text me sa number ko..09284300811..please lang…malaki na kasi ang natalo ko sa swer3 hanggang ngayon hindi pa ako nanalo…

  19. sir, pahingi ng number swertres para ngayon gabi

  20. please give me lotto 6/42 numbers para heart surgery ng aking anak. Pls send to my e-mail address roger_tams@yahoo.com

  21. please give a 6 number that can maintain 4ever

  22. Una sa lahat nagpapasalamat na ako para sa mga taong gustong manalo nang Lotto… at sana natulungan mo sila…. kung sakali mang manalo ako sa Lotto kalahati nang mapapanalunan ko ibibigay sa nangangailangan… malaki man o maliit…. Bigyan mo ko nang numero itoy hindi lang para sa akin kundi sa mga tutulungan ko…
    6 numbers…
    Maraming salamat… God Bless…

  23. Master txt me s formula kay di ko ma gets panu. Tnxs 09234423136

  24. vern gud pm pahingi 3d 4 9 pm tnx

  25. may balato ka sa akin pagtumama ang no. mo txt nalang sa cel.no. ko 09265702828

  26. u want hearing balato ha tx me 09197659293

  27. bgyan mo ako ng tip s laro ngaun 3dgit at loto

  28. bgyn mo na tip sa 3dgt at loto ngaun txt me 09197210985

  29. sana bigyan mo ako ng winning three digits, kailangan ko ng pera para mkatulong sa pangngalangan namin, biktima kami ng bagyong pepeng. tx no. 09166210819. salamat po

  30. SANA BIGYAN NINYO AKU NG SUERTRES KAILANGAN KO SA SCHOOL PAYMENT TEXT LANG PO SA 09061323970 SALAMAT PO

  31. Hi, please give me a Suertres 3D number for tomorrow.My mother is addicted to it and ilang months na hindi siya nanalo, palagi lang slide yung number niya.Please give her a exact number.please please this is her number 09207983280.

  32. Pleas give me an exact number pra mmya suertres 5pm pti mayang gabi..gusto ko tlga manalo kc mrami ako problema…sna bigyan po ninyo ako ‘yong cgurado na number pra masolve ang mga problems ko…eto po ang cp number ko 09282654055…tanx po and more power…


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